Four Reasons Why it Maybe Four More Years of Donald
As the US election draws nearer, the polls are as nail-biting as an opiate addict going through his 7th day without Oxycontin. Some polls according to the British Broadcasting Corporation: have Biden winning by a margin of 10% points, others have Biden losing by a margin of one percentage point. To anyone not in the United States, it is an enormous surprise that the polls are this close. While there’s confidence in Democratic headquarters, it should still be of ‘yuge’ concern that this isn’t predicted to be an absolute walkover. How Has Trump managed to stay in the race so far? How in the face one of the ineptest, idioitic and illegal incumbents in the history of the United States of America are Democrats still not hearing the music of vast swathes of the U.S. Population?
1) On the Ground action with the Black Community
Much has been made in Liberal, centrist and even some right-leaning papers of the fact Trump has failed to disassociate himself from white supremacist militias, encouraged disinformation, encouraged violence, failed to support Black Lives Matter, and has generally contradicted his principles more times than that Priest who got caught with those two dominatrices in Louisiana. Certainly everything he’s said in this regard can be condemned, but ultimately, they are just things he has said. And if stand-up comedy is the art of sincerity; politics is the art of lying. What both have in common, is the need to keep wildly different audiences on your side for the duration of your set.
On the ground, Trump has engaged with black communities in a way every previous president, Obama included have not. President Trump has worked with Kim Kardashian, the Koch Brothers & the American Civil Liberties Union to finally finish the prison reform that Obama started.
According to Time Magazine:
‘The new law will ease the sentences for some crack cocaine-related convictions and likely speed up the release of more than 2,600 federal prisoners. It will create a system for inmates to earn credits toward early release and sets up new programs designed to improve their ability to adapt to life after prison. It ends the practice of shackling pregnant women inmates; bans juveniles from being held in solitary in federal facilities; and gives judges more discretion in sentencing decisions. Proponents say the law, which only deals with federal inmates, can serve as a template for states and local jurisdictions that incarcerate the vast majority of the 2.1 million people jailed in the U.S.’
Black communities have been crying out for this for decades. Many white liberals talked of how much the Netflix documentary 13th opened their eyes to the injustice of the U.S. Prison System, but aside from read and protest, did nothing about it. Though Obama’s intent was good, when it comes to implementation, he did fail. President Trump was the man who ultimately succeeded in doing something about it.
As well as prison reform, Donald Trump has empowered and emancipated black citizens seeking to further their opportunities through education with unprecedented funding of the Historically Black College Universities. Take this from the Economist:
‘President Donald Trump brags that he “saved” the hbcus. Such talk annoys some presidents, but they also praise him. He has “been beating the drum on hbcus as a cornerstone of his education platform from month one of his time in office”, says M. Christopher Brown, president of Kentucky State University. “The action and the money don’t lie,” says Mr Williams (of the Thurgood Marshall Fund). Many like the fact that Mr Trump met and spoke thoughtfully to hbcu leaders, and that he forgave loans to some hard-hit colleges. “These seeds have been sprinkled under him,” says Mr Brown. He may be reviled, says Mr Carter (editor of HBCU Digest) but “he did some substantive things”.’
Secondly, many black people just don’t agree with the rhetoric coming out of Democratic circles, Black Lives Matter included. It’s one of the classic contradictions of intersectionality within left wing politics. Most Trump voters agree with the statement Black Lives Matter, but not the institution. Neither do many black voters. Most black voters may agree that taking funds from police militarisation and redistributing them towards preventative measures such as scholarships for Historically Black University Colleges would be undoubtedly a good thing. However, the statement: ‘Defund the Police’ bandied about alone as it has been on social media belongs only on the Jokers Manifesto. And when the average voter sees the riots, and even the violent White Supremacist protests on TV, the conclusion they make is this what BLM wants, or at least will cause. BLM have also stated they’re intent to implement Marxist policy, while also stating their intent to “disrupt the Western-prescribed nuclear family structure requirement.”
Now in fairness to BLM, your author is a Socialist, but your author is also a salesman and your author is also a political scientist. And from that perspective, public declaration of Marxist intentions DOES NOT SELL nor does embracing an openly Marxist institution attract votes in the World’s most capitalist democratic polity. BLM’s intent to disrupt the nuclear family structure requirement is also something your author agrees with, as further research shows their intent is to increase community parenting, so children aren’t left alone while their mother scrubs away for 18 hours of the day at an uptown hotel. However, the Conservative media have twisted it to make it appear as if they want all of America to become one polyamorous household of lesbian unicorns and liberal institutions haven’t done much to combat that damaging accusation. All they have done is reinforce that the Democratic Party are behind the BLM institution., and thus the Democratic Party to many voters are behind America becoming one polyamorous household of lesbian unicorns.
Really there is a strong case to say Donald Trump has done more for the black community than Biden & Harris combined. On top what’s already written, in 1985 he opened the historically segregated Mar A Lago to Jews & Blacks at a time when most golf clubs were still segregated. This occurred nine years before Biden helped create crime legislation that was disproportionately harmful to African Americans. And 10 years after Biden opposed school integration between white & black students. Though it can be argued Biden may have done this from a position of pragmatism, and due to humanizing and engaging with black voters against it, most notably at the HBCU Delaware College, most working black voters do not have the time to find out these prickly details that an unemployed comedian attempting to retrain as a journalist does. They merely see what Joes own Vice President nominee accused him of repeated on all news channels, and all social media feeds again and again until the idea ‘Joe Biden was against segregation’ becomes truth.
Kamala Harris herself is a pragmatist and what she was doing while Trump was desegregating golf clubs was overpopulating prisons with young black men. As a state prosecutor in California, she was not responsible for passing the ‘three strikes’ law, but she was responsible for enforcing it, and many black voters don’t see the difference between police & courts. It is the same system that has been used to hold them down for years. As one black attorney and former Pasadena prosecutor: Yvette McDowell put it: “Communities of colour, they have a hard time trusting you when you are connected with law enforcement.” This haunted Kamala through her democratic nomination campaign and was a big factor as to why she struggled to rally black support.
Joe Biden does command respect and support amongst black voters, amongst older ones especially. Unlike the Clinton Nomination, Joe won his ticket fair & square with a resounding comeback thanks to black supporters in the Democratic Party. However black voters who are paid up members of a left-wing political party are nothing like the ordinary undecided black voter.
Simply put, Talib Kweli is not Killer Mike, and Killer Mike is not 50 Cent.
Simultaneously Ice Cube is not 50 Cent, and 50 Cent is not Chance the Rapper. But all three have stated their belief ‘that black people do not have to be Democrats’, and two of those three have different reasons for implying they’ll vote Donald Trump. Ethnic minority votes are not demographics, or statistics, or one great homogenous group who should vote as Democrats as the master tells us. We are individuals that make up communities that are as diverse and different in their humanity as any other. And when Joe Biden say’s ‘If You Don’t Vote for Me, You’re not Black’, it does not help, joking or not.
If Trump does make gains in the black vote, while keeping rural whites on side, it will be an extraordinary political feat. But credit to Trump for at least trying to appeal to both and offering something to both. The Democrats in contrast have seemingly offered only that they believe in science and are not Trump.
2) Science is up for question
Science is not a strong seller. Heck, your correspondent loves NASA, marine biology, and marvels at the feats of modern evolutionary theory, but your correspondent is in that small liberal educated circle that by and large trusts in science, but even your correspondent dropped it in school at the earliest opportunity. Science like much of today’s politics & economics is immensely complicated, nuanced and does not appeal to the average brain that likes to break things into simple binaries: right and wrong, functions and broken, good and evil. Science itself is not fool proof. It relies often on filling in the gaps.
Average voters don’t trust the authority science claims to have. I believe in climate change because most of the scientists I know, I have grown up with, and thus trust their humanity when they tell me it’s true. If you do not come from a community where your family and friends are likely to grow up to be scientists, it follows you will not necessarily trust the science.
According to Pew Research, 71% of Americans have heard that Covid19 was planned by powerful people. 20% believe it. This figure rises for 33% of black adults, 34% of Latino Adults. This figure rises to a whopping 48% for Americans with a high school diploma or less education. According to the 2018 US Census, that is 52.5% (% of Americans with a high school diploma or less) of the country that in essence… do not believe in science.
And why should they? This is after all the same scientific authority that let 399 black men die of syphilis in 1932 in Tuskegee for medical analysis, poisoned 20 000 babies with Thalidomide in the 50s and the same scientific authority that created the now disreputable idea that black people are somehow not only genetically inferior, but are not even human, and it was after all the Democrats who insisted that ownership of them be allowed to remain, even at the expense of the United States. A man who repeatedly made white supremacist statements continuously, but committed all his action into the right to black self-determination was one Abraham Lincoln.
Even for someone who believes in science, it is exhausting trying to keep up. Science, or at the very least how it is presented to us changes on a day to day basis. Your correspondent has read headlines as varied as eating red meat gives you cancer, eating red meat holds off cancer, bottled water gives you cancer, and just the other day read that through the discovery of a particular type of Finch: one of the central theories underpinning Darwinism has proven to be false: that evolution takes place over hundreds of thousands of years. Some scientists may argue that many of the above headlines are misrepresentations of actual scientific data but that is the point. Average voters don’t get the data, we get the headlines. The average citizen doesn’t read the New Scientist Magazine, let alone the peer-reviewed Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society.
What Trump has done in spreading dangerous disinformation regarding Qanon and supporting white supremacist groups is categorically immoral. His presidency is directly responsible for the high number of deaths in the US (at the time of writing 9th per capita globally). His presidency is also directly responsible for Americas falling standard in the World, domestic violence in the US & the increasing number of military flashpoints around the World. Azerbaijan & Armenia may have thought twice had they known peace loving America was there to keep them in check.
His presidency is also responsible for the increased number of dictators that have taken power, and the current global assault on human rights. If the Yanks are putting kids in cages, openly engaging in voter disenfranchisement, and rolling back LGBT & abortion laws, then why can’t China, India, Zimbabwe, Kyrgyzstan, Belarus, Poland, Hungary, Brazil, Turkey, or even the UK.
Trumps concentration camps on the US/Mexico border have been a policy of unfathomable cruelty and have undoubtedly been a breach of international law. But the horrible truth is most voters are not illegal immigrants… hence why they can vote. Many legal Latin American immigrants take his view on things regarding illegal immigrants, hence why almost half of America’s Border Control Agents are Latino… THAT AND THERE’S NO OTHER GOOD JOBS.
While denouncing Covid19 as a hoax was foolish and undoubtedly had catastrophic consequences: Nearly every nation outside of East Asia has struggled with the virus: with many nations in Europe & Latin America, as well as India heading for a second lockdown and more and more citizens demanding a Sweden-like approach to the virus, as more and more citizens get angry at Trumps Public Enemy No 1: China for unleashing it.
The average voter cares about democratic norms as little as they care about scientific ones. The only normality the average voter desperately wants is an economic one. And while Trump has seriously damaged the first two, Trump has objectively succeeded with the latter.
3) Objective Economic Success
According to a Gallup Poll, 61% (the highest number in history) say they are better off in 2020 than they were in 2016. Furthermore, the Summer of 2020 represented the record numbers of new businesses starting up in America. Likely because of unemployment, but also because of the $1200 Stimulus cheques (minimum) given to low & middle-income individuals and families during the pandemic. This, accounting for currency differentials, is still double what the often thought of as lefter leaning UK offers on Universal Credit. This is socialism in action, whether Donald likes the word or not.
Blaming Nancy Pelosi & the Democrats as responsible for the reason people can’t get further stimulus at present is a master stroke. Most likely he is the reason the stimulus is not being released at present but the way your correspondent has received it watching the news, is through the repetition of many news anchors (primarily on Bloomberg, CNN, the BBC & Sky News), that ‘Donald Trump has blamed Nancy Pelosi for preventing stimulus from being released’ which in a brain already overloaded with information very quickly becomes ‘Nancy Pelosi prevented stimulus from being released’. And what do we say about the best teachers? They’re not the cleverest people, but the people who can get the message across best. And Donald Trumps Republican Party are masters at getting of message across.
Given that this followed three years of significant tax cuts, there will probably be some economic reckoning for this, years down the line… but voters now don’t care about that, do they? Because while they want economic normality, like with democratic & scientific normality, the average voter doesn’t really understand the longevity of it, because instead of ‘doing the research which is all available on the internet’ as some liberals and far right conspiracists alike often claim people should, they have to bills to pay, and if one side is telling them to educate themselves, but the other side is actually giving them the tools (through reducing the time and conscious energy spent on worrying about bills) to educate themselves, well they might end up coming to some very different conclusions to you.
This is why he is still doing so well in the polls regardless of his brash personality, his concentration camps, and his attack on the democratic norms & institutions of the United States of America. Because if you give people the choice between national socialism, or instable economic liberalism, They will pick national socialism every time. I don’t say it, history & geography do. The ancient Romans picked Caesar over the Senate; the Weimar Republic picked Nazi Germany over every other party. Work & Bread. If you are not providing these two, then the people will not let you provide the rest. The citizens of Brazil, India, Hungary, Poland, Australia, the UK, the Philippines and more have let political scientists around the World know this. America’s it seems could take another four years to realise.
4) Voter Disenfranchisement, Political Spin & the Powers that Be.
Since as early as August, Trump has been engaging in disenfranchising voters less likely to vote for him. From sowing the seeds there maybe ‘voter fraud’ as a result of postal votes all the way to actively engaging in making it easier to reject postal votes on technicalities, President Trump has managed to do the most undemocratic thing in the most democratic way: through court action.
It is to anyone with a deep & moral political understanding in no uncertain terms: wrong. It is not something Democrats have really shouted about, however. And though disenfranchised voters can engage with many of their rights: shout, scream, carry a gun, either on election day or after, what they cannot do is vote.
Furthermore, Republicans have been on the ground working longer hours, for more days throughout the year, engaging with more voters. Why? Take this from the Economist:
‘Democrats, whose traditional registration sites, universities and churches have been closed or restricted in much of the country due to Covid have been canvassing less than Republicans. In both Florida and Pennsylvania, Republicans have registered over 100, 000 more voters than Democrats since March. The Republican advantage in Arizona since mid-August exceeds 30 000.’
These margins are going to make the difference. As are the way the media & data are going to get these messages across.
Finally, who really cares about Donald Trump, who’s willing to if so fight & maybe die for this man? So many more than would for Joe Biden. Even the most ardent Biden supporter’s strongest points are that he is not Trump, and his dementia has not fully kicked in yet. When it comes to picking a leader, throughout history, the one with vehement support always tends to emerge victorious over the one everyone is indifferent about.
The people backing Trump involve data collectors who know your mind better than you do. Peter Thiel was one of his primary backers at the last election. This is a man who brought down Gawker, funded Facebook and set up a data gathering company with the CIA currently worth over $22 billion.
Joe Biden has… Billie Eilish?
(Note: Peter Thiel has reportedly backed away from supporting Trump this year due to the Presidents handling of the Covid19 Pandemic, though no comment from himself appears in any reports. If this is the case, it is these two factors alone that will be responsible for Trump losing the election.)
This article was not written to offend any liberal or grass roots democratic party members. I am on your side. I pray the results prove me wrong on election day, I really do. Four more years of trump has all the potential to see the violence you are currently seeing on your streets spill out into the rest of the World.
Honestly, I really want Senile Joe to beat George Bush, Ronald Raegan or whoever the hell he thinks he’s facing, but I also want him to do it comfortably so as to avoid the potential for the fairness and freedom of the election to be disputed.
People say we have not learnt the lessons about racism from Nazi Germany. They said it after Brexit. They said it after Trump in 2016. I would say we have not learnt the lessons of capitalism from the Democratic Weimar Republic.
Villains are not born, they’re shaped by their surroundings and villains are always victims first. Whether it’s a little Mexican boy living in poverty that smuggles a rucksack for a cartel, a French Muslim living in a ghetto with high unemployment, and whose forced into petty crime and gets radicalized in prison or starving families of all races in opiate ravaged left behind former manufacturing communities who support a President that runs concentration camps because no one else listened to them except him.
While Hollywood & New York thought they were not cool enough, too ugly, and didn’t live in safe enough areas to bother engaging with. While many of the coastal elites even went so far as to accuse them of misogyny just because they didn’t trust the wife of the man who sold off all their jobs, Trump listened to these desperate voters, and more importantly these precious voters. Not because he truly cared about their concerns, but because he knew deep down that these swing state votes count so much more than the rest.
This campaign he is zoning in exactly on the demographics he needs to again, while the Democrats offer a broad one size fits all manifesto that say’s little except ‘We are not them’ again, and when they are offering you something, and you are offering nothing, that’s not good enough.
So much of politics has been boiled down into what politicians say, and what liberals feel, as opposed to what politicians are doing, and what working people feel. Outside of Big Sean & Eminem, the average Biden fan could not tell you a single opinion of a voter from Michigan. You can assume the same for Minnesota, Maine, Arizona, North Carolina and near every other swing state.
it’s easy to see why David Icke, Alex Jones & QAnon have the popularity they do right now. Because what they say is broadly true. There isn’t a global elite, but there are a range of global elites, and they are interested in preserving their power & their legacy: electorally, economically, and culturally. Paedophiles& Pimps exist and have existed in institutions of enormous power throughout all of history: from the Vatican to Jimmy Saville at the BBC, to Bill Clinton at the Democratic Party, to Dominique Strauss Khan at the IMF, and when the fact that you and your neighbours are starving, or that there’s an opiate crisis ravaging your community barely makes the front page of any newspaper, or barely makes the central theme of any TV series, but someone like the aforementioned is talking about it, then ties it off neatly with it being a global corporate conspiracy ran by Lizard people who sell pieces of the kids in Pizza boxes, that is an attractive sell… it’s a far more attractive sell than being told you’re a racist misogynist whose too stupid to understand politics, economics and science.
Like most average voters, the bulk of what these conspiracists say is often correct and sometimes comes from a place of humanity as well as narcissism, but media through memes & algorithms focusses on the few times they get it horribly wrong, and make them out to be far worse than they are. People get carried away. People are wrong. People contradict themselves, President & voter alike, and voters are tired of being told directly and indirectly that one minor screw-up of the English language could be the end of everything they’ve worked hard to build.
This is why the race is still so tight, in the face of one of the ineptest, idioitic and illegal incumbents in the history of the United States of America.
Four years after shouting voters into Trump’s arms, the Democrats are now trying to scare voters back out and it is just not working. Even if Biden just about gets the result here, and all passes without incidence, America will run into the same problems that were put on display four years ago.
Essentially if you walk into a gig full of country music fans, and start dropping Radiohead, you’re gonna get booed off stage, and that is what Democrats did in 2016, and it’s what they’re doing now.
Voters only want one thing: to be heard, to know that they’re listened to even if their leader is messing up in all other aspects of his politics, and Trump has done that in a way Democrats have failed to since January 20, 2001. And that is not good enough. There is every reason to assume that had a once in a lifetime global pandemic not occurred, Trump would have won this election comfortably (which in this correspondent’s opinion he still could), and that is just not good enough.
Democrats can write off those who vote against them as ‘deplorables’, ‘Uncle Toms’, ‘Not Black’ & ‘idiots’ all they want, but unless they try to understand their humanity and what got them to voting for this man in the first place, then they’re as unfit as the Republicans to be a political party.
Biden will win the popular vote comfortably, and will most likely edge the electoral college…. assuming these ‘poll watchers’ funded by both parties don’t accuse someone falsely thus starting a civil war…. Or Trump doesn’t declare he’s won the vote before he’s won the vote also starting a civil war… Or Trump doesn’t call an election victory before he has the results also starting a civil war… Or Trump doesn’t claim the vote is rigged also starting a… Ah f*ck. It’s gonna be civil war isn’t it.